Arsenal U21 2-1 Middlesbrough U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.33
No
40%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
71%
-10.9pp
40%
BTTS No
29%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal U21 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.63/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/2.98
+9% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
12.8 Crosses 14.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Middlesbrough U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.95 xG 0.78
66% Ball Possession 34%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
464 Passes 208
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.01.2024 Arsenal U21 Arsenal U21 1-0 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough U21 Middlesbrough U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal U21
2-1
AWAY Middlesbrough U21
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
391 Passes 243
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arsenal U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal U21 nicked a narrow win over Middlesbrough U21 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal U21 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Arsenal U21 had 60% of the ball to Middlesbrough U21's 40%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Arsenal U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Arsenal U21 2-1 Middlesbrough U21 in the INGPL2 on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arsenal U21 46%, draw 23%, Middlesbrough U21 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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