Arsenal U21 1-0 Middlesbrough U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.72
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
37%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.35
No
42%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
54%
-14.1pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.9pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+11.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
70%
-12.5pp
42%
BTTS No
30%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal U21 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
460 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal U21
1-0
AWAY Middlesbrough U21
0.95 xG 0.78
66% Ball Possession 34%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
464 Passes 208
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal U21 edged past Middlesbrough U21 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Arsenal U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arsenal U21 had 66% of the ball to Middlesbrough U21's 34%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.95 to 0.78.

What was the final score of Arsenal U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Arsenal U21 1-0 Middlesbrough U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Arsenal U21 40%, draw 23%, Middlesbrough U21 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal U21) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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