Nottingham Forest U21 0-5 Sunderland U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.31
No
48%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.7pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.7pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
72%
-20.6pp
48%
BTTS No
28%
+20.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
408 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest U21
0-5
AWAY Sunderland U21
0.91 xG 3.28
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 15
11 Corners 6
311 Passes 428
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest U21 vs Sunderland U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland U21 ran out comfortable winners over Nottingham Forest U21 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (42% / 20% / 38%) promised a tight game; Sunderland U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nottingham Forest U21 had 44% of the ball to Sunderland U21's 56%, shots finished 14-22, expected goals 0.91 to 3.28.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Nottingham Forest U21 0-5 Sunderland U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest U21 42%, draw 20%, Sunderland U21 38%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nottingham Forest U21), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nottingham Forest U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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