Norwich City U21 3-4 Wolverhampton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.32
No
44%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
72%
-15.9pp
44%
BTTS No
28%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City U21 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton U21 EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Wolverhampton U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
19.09.2023 Norwich City U21 Norwich City U21 2-2 HT 1-1 Wolverhampton U21 Wolverhampton U21 İNPLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City U21
3-4
AWAY Wolverhampton U21
2.86 xG 1.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
427 Passes 395
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Norwich City U21 vs Wolverhampton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton U21 edged past Norwich City U21 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Norwich City U21 at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Norwich City U21 had 51% of the ball to Wolverhampton U21's 49%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.86 to 1.94 — the balance of chances actually favoured Norwich City U21.

What was the final score of Norwich City U21 vs Wolverhampton U21?

Norwich City U21 3-4 Wolverhampton U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City U21 vs Wolverhampton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Norwich City U21 55%, draw 21%, Wolverhampton U21 24%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Norwich City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Norwich City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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