Chelsea U21 3-2 Manchester United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.31
No
47%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
72%
-19.6pp
47%
BTTS No
28%
+19.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
418 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea U21
3-2
AWAY Manchester United U21
2.59 xG 1.63
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
453 Passes 318
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chelsea U21 vs Manchester United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U21 edged past Manchester United U21 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 21% / 42% — and on the day Chelsea U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Chelsea U21 had 57% of the ball to Manchester United U21's 43%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.59 to 1.63.

What was the final score of Chelsea U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Chelsea U21 3-2 Manchester United U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chelsea U21 37%, draw 21%, Manchester United U21 42%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester United U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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