Fulham U21 2-1 Derby County U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.33
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
Over 2.5
73%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.43
No
37%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
25%
4-5 Goals
42%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
15%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
70%
-0.9pp
15%
Draw
16%
-1.0pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+1.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
66%
-2.5pp
37%
BTTS No
34%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham U21 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Derby County U21 EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham U21
2-1
AWAY Derby County U21
2.21 xG 2.47
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
485 Passes 261
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fulham U21 vs Derby County U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham U21 squeezed past Derby County U21 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fulham U21 as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Fulham U21 had 62% of the ball to Derby County U21's 38%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 2.21 to 2.47.

What was the final score of Fulham U21 vs Derby County U21?

Fulham U21 2-1 Derby County U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham U21 vs Derby County U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Fulham U21 69%, draw 15%, Derby County U21 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fulham U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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