La Equidad 2-3 Envigado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.9pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Envigado EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.45/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.28
-9% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 74%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
19.4 Crosses 11.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Envigado
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.43 xG 0.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
242 Passes 242
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.07.2024 Envigado Envigado 2-1 HT 1-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
23.01.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
22.07.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
28.01.2023 Envigado Envigado 1-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
12.09.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 0-1 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
12.06.2022 Envigado Envigado 0-3 HT 0-2 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
2-3
AWAY Envigado
2.12 xG 1.16
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
363 Passes 176
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
42 Box Touches 11
36 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Envigado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado nicked a narrow win over La Equidad 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was La Equidad at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Equidad had 65% of the ball to Envigado's 35%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.12 to 1.16 — on chances, La Equidad could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Envigado led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for La Equidad and 0.83 for Envigado.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Envigado?

La Equidad 2-3 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Envigado?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 52%, draw 28%, Envigado 20%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (La Equidad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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