Junior 2-0 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
1.36/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.02
+21% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
15.4 Crosses 14.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Once Caldas
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.02
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
366 Passes 238
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
02.12.2024 Junior Junior 1-2 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
28.11.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-2 HT 2-1 Junior Junior KOL
12.11.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
21.04.2024 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
22.10.2023 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
07.05.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
2-0
AWAY Once Caldas
0.82 xG 0.36
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
327 Passes 241
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 5
26 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Junior vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior got the better of Once Caldas 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Junior had 57% of the ball to Once Caldas's 43%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.82 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Junior and 1.00 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of Junior vs Once Caldas?

Junior 2-0 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Junior 44%, draw 29%, Once Caldas 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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