Junior vs Once Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Junior v Once Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Junior vs Once Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Junior 1-2 Once Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Once Caldas squeezed past Junior 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Junior at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Junior had 57% of the ball to Once Caldas's 43%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.77 to 0.87 — on chances, Junior could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Junior and 1.00 for Once Caldas.
What was the final score of Junior vs Once Caldas?
Junior 1-2 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Junior vs Once Caldas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Junior 51%, draw 29%, Once Caldas 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.