America de Cali 4-2 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 2 Dec 2024

📅02/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.38
Over 2.5
31%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.8pp
35%
Draw
33%
+2.4pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
69%
Under 2.5
69%
+0.1pp
31%
Over 2.5
31%
-0.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.1pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.35/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.08
+18% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
16.1 Crosses 12.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.83 xG 0.87
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
255 Passes 336
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.11.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
12.09.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
01.02.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-1 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
17.07.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
27.01.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-1 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
22.09.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
4-2
AWAY Deportes Tolima
3.21 xG 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
22 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
315 Passes 329
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali saw off Deportes Tolima 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 35% / 29%) promised a tight game; America de Cali found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, America de Cali had 48% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 52%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 3.21 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for America de Cali and 0.83 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima?

America de Cali 4-2 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 36%, draw 35%, Deportes Tolima 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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