America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
America de Cali v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
America de Cali 4-2 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
America de Cali saw off Deportes Tolima 4-2. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.
Our pre-match split (36% / 37% / 27%) promised a tight game; America de Cali found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (59%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, America de Cali had 48% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 52%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 3.21 to 1.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for America de Cali and 0.83 for Deportes Tolima.
America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima Result & Final Score
America de Cali 4 - 2 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 36%, draw 37%, Deportes Tolima 27%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.