Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v America de Cali — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
2-1
HT 1-0
America de Cali
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
America de Cali
KOL
Deportes Tolima 1-0 America de Cali — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima squeezed past America de Cali 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 54% of the ball to America de Cali's 46%, shots finished 19-3, expected goals 1.02 to 0.07.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportes Tolima and 0.67 for America de Cali.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali?
Deportes Tolima 1-0 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 28/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 41%, draw 29%, America de Cali 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.