Once Caldas 2-2 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 28 Nov 2024

📅28/11/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.9pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -8%
1.18/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.10
-2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
19.8 Crosses 13.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Junior
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.92 xG 0.90
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
223 Passes 360
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
21.04.2024 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
22.10.2023 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
07.05.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
08.08.2022 Junior Junior 1-2 HT 0-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
13.02.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
2-2
AWAY Junior
1.62 xG 0.94
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
199 Passes 360
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas and Junior shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Once Caldas at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Once Caldas had 37% of the ball to Junior's 63%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.62 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Once Caldas and 0.50 for Junior.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Junior?

Once Caldas 2-2 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 28/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 46%, draw 32%, Junior 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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