Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-0 Atlante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.4
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
56%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
15%
+3.9pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.7pp
56%
Away Win
66%
-9.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlante EU Bookmakers 70%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.69/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.99
-40% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +34%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
218 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 465 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atlante
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
31.08.2024 Atlante Atlante 6-0 HT 4-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
01.02.2024 Atlante Atlante 1-2 HT 1-2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
01.11.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-3 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
06.01.2023 Atlante Atlante 4-0 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
15.09.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 HT 1-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
30.03.2022 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
POST-MATCH Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atlante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alebrijes de Oaxaca saw off Atlante 2-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Atlante at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 2.83 for Atlante.

What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atlante?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-0 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera A on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atlante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 19%, draw 25%, Atlante 56%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atlante) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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