Correcaminos UAT 1-3 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.04
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
41%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.18
Over 2.5
61%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+8.3pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.2pp
41%
Away Win
55%
-14.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 59%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.62/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.01
+47% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
31.08.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-1 HT 2-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
28.02.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-1 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
21.09.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-2 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
03.02.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 3-1 HT 2-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
22.07.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
27.01.2022 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-3 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg beat Correcaminos UAT 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leones Negros Udeg as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 1.17 for Leones Negros Udeg.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Correcaminos UAT 1-3 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 30%, draw 29%, Leones Negros Udeg 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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