Sepsi 2-3 Hermannstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepsi EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.61/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.31
-26% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
16.6 Crosses 19.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepsi
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Hermannstadt
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.67 xG 0.41
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
337 Passes 376
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-4 HT 0-2 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
21.12.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-1 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
27.09.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-1 HT 0-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROMK
21.08.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 1-1 HT 1-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
25.02.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 2-1 HT 1-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
02.10.2022 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-2 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sepsi
2-3
AWAY Hermannstadt
1.76 xG 1.92
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
452 Passes 258
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sepsi vs Hermannstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermannstadt squeezed past Sepsi 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Hermannstadt made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sepsi had 61% of the ball to Hermannstadt's 39%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.76 to 1.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepsi had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sepsi and 0.83 for Hermannstadt.

What was the final score of Sepsi vs Hermannstadt?

Sepsi 2-3 Hermannstadt in the Romania - 1st Division on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepsi vs Hermannstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepsi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sepsi 40%, draw 29%, Hermannstadt 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sepsi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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