Universitatea Craiova 2-1 Otelul Galati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.72
2-3 Goals
45%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.84
6+ Goals
9%
17.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Otelul Galati EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +18%
2.03/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.21
+3% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +90%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
17.3 Crosses 21.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Otelul Galati
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.99 xG 0.99
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
227 Passes 252
65% Pass Accuracy 69%
12 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-1 HT 1-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
04.04.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-1 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROK
26.11.2023 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-3 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
24.07.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-0 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
04.04.2015 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
15.09.2014 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-0 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
2-1
AWAY Otelul Galati
1.02 xG 0.32
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
412 Passes 431
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs Otelul Galati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova edged past Otelul Galati 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Universitatea Craiova as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 49% of the ball to Otelul Galati's 51%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.02 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 0.50 for Otelul Galati.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs Otelul Galati?

Universitatea Craiova 2-1 Otelul Galati in the Romania - 1st Division on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs Otelul Galati?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 54%, draw 25%, Otelul Galati 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ROM More Romania - 1st Division
14 Feb 2025
18:00 Sepsi vs Hermannstadt Analysis →