Al Hilal Riyadh 1-1 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.18
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
3.46
Over
65%
1.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
17%
7.84
2-3
35%
2.29
4-5
31%
2.28
6+
17%
3.77
Value flag · 0-1 at 7.84 — our 17% vs market 7.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh The Market 11%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
2.70 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.96
0.70 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.94
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
514 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 75%
40.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
25.6 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Riyadh
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
4.38 xG 0.42
69% Ball Possession 31%
25 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
503 Passes 192
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
52 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2024 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
08.03.2024 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
15.09.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 6-1 HT 2-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
1-1
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.94 xG 0.75
72% Ball Possession 28%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
575 Passes 178
91% Pass Accuracy 70%
38 Box Touches 8
36 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Riyadh
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Al Hilal Riyadh and Al Riyadh couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Al Hilal Riyadh carried 68% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.18, about 85% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (65%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Al Hilal Riyadh had 72% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 28%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.94 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 0.67 for Al Riyadh.

Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Riyadh Result & Final Score

Al Hilal Riyadh 1-1 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Riyadh Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 68%, draw 17%, Al Riyadh 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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