Al Riyadh 0-3 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
9.57
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
65%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.83
2-3 Goals
40%
2.17
4-5 Goals
27%
2.48
6+ Goals
10%
4.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
41%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
8%
+10.2pp
17%
Draw
13%
+4.3pp
65%
Away Win
79%
-14.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 84%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.01/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.63/0.69
+43% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +38%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
277 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 86%
9.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.4
10.8 Crosses 21.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riyadh
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
0.53 xG 5.33
29% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
168 Passes 526
70% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 58
12 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2024 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
15.09.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 6-1 HT 2-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riyadh
0-3
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.21 xG 2.49
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 12
240 Passes 458
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 39
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh ran out comfortable winners over Al Riyadh 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Riyadh had 37% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 63%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 0.21 to 2.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Riyadh and 4.50 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Riyadh 0-3 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 18%, draw 17%, Al Hilal Riyadh 65%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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