Al Fayha 0-5 Al Raed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.05
6+ Goals
11%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Raed EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.22/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.22
-10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
14.1 Crosses 15.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fayha
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Raed
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.57 xG 0.66
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
333 Passes 348
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.02.2024 Al Raed Al Raed 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
01.09.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
22.05.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
14.01.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 2-4 HT 2-2 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
05.03.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
16.10.2021 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fayha
0-5
AWAY Al Raed
0.41 xG 2.37
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 18
0 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
458 Passes 440
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Fayha vs Al Raed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Raed cruised past Al Fayha 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Fayha at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Fayha had 51% of the ball to Al Raed's 49%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.41 to 2.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fayha had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Fayha and 0.83 for Al Raed.

What was the final score of Al Fayha vs Al Raed?

Al Fayha 0-5 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fayha vs Al Raed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fayha win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Fayha 41%, draw 26%, Al Raed 33%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Fayha), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Fayha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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