Al Fateh 1-2 Al Ettifaq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒18:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.4
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 28% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.66/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.17
+48% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.4 Crosses 18.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Ettifaq
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.68 xG 0.90
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
337 Passes 283
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.04.2024 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
05.10.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
22.05.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-4 HT 0-2 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
12.01.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
27.02.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 4-0 HT 3-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
30.09.2021 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
1-2
AWAY Al Ettifaq
1.11 xG 2.52
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
427 Passes 349
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ettifaq squeezed past Al Fateh 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Al Ettifaq made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Fateh had 55% of the ball to Al Ettifaq's 45%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 1.11 to 2.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ettifaq's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fateh had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Fateh and 0.17 for Al Ettifaq.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq?

Al Fateh 1-2 Al Ettifaq in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ettifaq win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 35%, draw 24%, Al Ettifaq 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ettifaq), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ettifaq) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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