Chesterfield 1-1 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 14 Feb 2026

Chesterfield
1 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Harrogate Town
📅14/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Chesterfield vs Harrogate Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
15%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.1
Over
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.87
2-3
47%
1.81
4-5
25%
2.98
6+
6%
9.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.86
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
4%
16.45
X/1
21%
4.03
X/2
6%
12.15
X/X
12%
6.31
2/1 ✗
3%
21.45
2/2
8%
9.82
2/X
4%
18.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 3% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Chesterfield v Harrogate Town — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Chesterfield The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town The Market 20%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.01 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.75
1.03 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.71
Average Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Strong
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
322 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 68%
32 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Chesterfield vs Harrogate Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesterfield
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Harrogate Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.06 xG 0.61
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
379 Passes 183
78% Pass Accuracy 63%
27 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.08.2025 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
22.03.2025 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
16.11.2024 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
03.03.2020 Chesterfield Chesterfield 3-4 HT 2-2 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İBSL
23.11.2019 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 3-1 HT 1-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
23.02.2019 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-1 HT 0-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İBSL

Chesterfield 1-1 Harrogate Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesterfield
1 - 1
AWAY Harrogate Town
3.11 xG 0.47
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
302 Passes 390
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 32
19 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Chesterfield vs Harrogate Town
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Chesterfield and Harrogate Town with a point apiece. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Chesterfield carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (56%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Chesterfield had 45% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 55%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 3.11 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chesterfield and 1.83 for Harrogate Town.

Chesterfield vs Harrogate Town Result & Final Score

Chesterfield 1 - 1 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Chesterfield vs Harrogate Town Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 65%, draw 20%, Harrogate Town 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chesterfield), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
14 Feb 2026
15:30 Barnet vs Cheltenham Town Analysis →
18:00 Crewe Alexandra vs Gillingham Analysis →
18:00 Cambridge United vs Bristol Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Oldham Athletic vs Fleetwood Town Analysis →
18:00 Barrow vs Colchester Analysis →
18:00 Milton Keynes Dons vs Newport County Analysis →