Crewe Alexandra vs Gillingham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Crewe Alexandra v Gillingham — Team-Based Signals
Crewe Alexandra vs Gillingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Crewe Alexandra 1-0 Gillingham — Actual Match Statistics
Crewe Alexandra came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Gillingham 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Crewe Alexandra found the edge the numbers couldn't.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Gillingham saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 7-21, expected goals 0.57 to 1.88 — on chances, Gillingham could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Crewe Alexandra against 0.50 for Gillingham.
Crewe Alexandra vs Gillingham Result & Final Score
Crewe Alexandra 1 - 0 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Crewe Alexandra vs Gillingham Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 38%, draw 28%, Gillingham 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crewe Alexandra), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.