Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gillingham v Crewe Alexandra — Team-Based Signals
Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Gillingham
İN2
2-1
HT 0-0
Crewe Alexandra
İN2
1-1
HT 1-1
Gillingham
İN2
Gillingham 1-0 Crewe Alexandra — Actual Match Statistics
Gillingham edged past Crewe Alexandra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Gillingham as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Gillingham had 50% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 50%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.58 to 1.05.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gillingham and 1.00 for Crewe Alexandra.
What was the final score of Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra?
Gillingham 1-0 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 41%, draw 27%, Crewe Alexandra 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gillingham), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.