Cheltenham Town 0-1 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
52%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
25%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.48
1/2
7%
22.8
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
9%
8.36
X/2
13%
4.33
X/X
10%
5.02
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
2/2
31%
2.36
2/X
5%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.8pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+24% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
262 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheltenham Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Barnet
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
27.01.2018 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İN2
23.12.2017 Barnet Barnet 0-2 HT 0-2 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
25.03.2017 Barnet Barnet 3-1 HT 0-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
26.12.2016 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Barnet Barnet İN2
23.03.2013 Barnet Barnet 0-0 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
24.11.2012 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheltenham Town
0-1
AWAY Barnet
0.57 xG 1.07
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
180 Passes 161
60% Pass Accuracy 56%
14 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cheltenham Town vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet edged past Cheltenham Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cheltenham Town had 51% of the ball to Barnet's 49%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.57 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cheltenham Town and 1.00 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Barnet?

Cheltenham Town 0-1 Barnet in the England - 2nd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 27%, draw 21%, Barnet 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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