Fleetwood Town 1-1 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.69
4-5 Goals
18%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
18.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 32% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.04
1/2
10%
30.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
12%
5.68
X/2
10%
5.39
X/X
16%
4.09
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
13%
3.74
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.33/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.23
-16% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
208 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 70%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
18.9 Crosses 17.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
3.44 xG 0.72
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
373 Passes 293
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
32 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 10
13.11.2019 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 5-2 HT 4-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İNTK
26.12.2017 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-2 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
09.09.2017 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN1
08.04.2017 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
31.12.2016 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN1
04.10.2016 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
1-1
AWAY Oldham Athletic
1.93 xG 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
231 Passes 179
69% Pass Accuracy 62%
20 Box Touches 33
25 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town and Oldham Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 53% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 47%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 1.93 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fleetwood Town and 1.50 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Oldham Athletic?

Fleetwood Town 1-1 Oldham Athletic in the England - 2nd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 37%, draw 30%, Oldham Athletic 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fleetwood Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✓ Under 2.5
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