Walsall 1-0 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.53
6+ Goals
9%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.09
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
13%
4.95
X/2
18%
6.55
X/X
10%
4.39
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
10%
4.76
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.65/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.21
+22% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
237 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 69%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
20.5 Crosses 18.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Salford City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.49 xG 1.09
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
189 Passes 264
61% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Walsall Walsall 2-2 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
21.09.2024 Salford City Salford City 0-2 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
01.04.2024 Walsall Walsall 2-1 HT 1-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
09.09.2023 Salford City Salford City 1-2 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
22.04.2023 Walsall Walsall 2-3 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
31.01.2023 Salford City Salford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
1-0
AWAY Salford City
2.59 xG 0.36
30% Ball Possession 70%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
126 Passes 378
65% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 32
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall squeezed past Salford City 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Walsall found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Walsall had 30% of the ball to Salford City's 70%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.59 to 0.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Walsall's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Walsall and 1.33 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Salford City?

Walsall 1-0 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Walsall 39%, draw 26%, Salford City 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walsall), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Walsall) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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