Crawley Town 0-2 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 32% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.14
1/2
14%
28.5
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
9%
5.88
X/2
11%
5.31
X/X
16%
4.29
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
13%
3.53
2/X
5%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 42%
+7% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.33/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.31
+17% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
233 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 70%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
17.4 Crosses 23.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.31 xG 1.36
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 Passes 245
69% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-3 HT 1-2 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
16.09.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 3-2 HT 0-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
15.04.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-1 HT 2-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
28.02.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
22.01.2022 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
06.11.2021 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
0-2
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.78 xG 0.73
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 9
294 Passes 136
77% Pass Accuracy 62%
37 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Crawley Town vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tranmere Rovers got the better of Crawley Town 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Tranmere Rovers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Crawley Town had 62% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 38%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.78 to 0.73 — on chances, Crawley Town could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Crawley Town and 1.17 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Tranmere Rovers?

Crawley Town 0-2 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tranmere Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 36%, draw 27%, Tranmere Rovers 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tranmere Rovers), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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