Swindon Town 2-1 Shrewsbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 23 Aug 2025

Swindon Town
2-1 HT 1-0
Shrewsbury
📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Swindon Town vs Shrewsbury Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.69
4-5 Goals
21%
4.02
6+ Goals
9%
19.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.49
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
22%
4.2
X/2
5%
8.1
X/X
12%
4.27
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
10%
6.81
2/X
9%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swindon Town v Shrewsbury — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 26%
-13% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -30%
1.43/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/0.99
-6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -60%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
291 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 66%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
22.2 Crosses 14.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Swindon Town vs Shrewsbury Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Town
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Shrewsbury
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 0.41
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
318 Passes 240
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.02.2021 Swindon Town Swindon Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
14.11.2020 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 3-3 HT 2-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN1
07.01.2017 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
01.10.2016 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-1 HT 1-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN1
08.05.2016 Swindon Town Swindon Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
19.12.2015 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-1 HT 0-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN1

Swindon Town 2-1 Shrewsbury — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swindon Town
2-1
AWAY Shrewsbury
1.68 xG 1.80
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
331 Passes 198
76% Pass Accuracy 62%
29 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Swindon Town vs Shrewsbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Town squeezed past Shrewsbury 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Swindon Town as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Swindon Town had 57% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 43%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.68 to 1.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swindon Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Swindon Town and 1.00 for Shrewsbury.

What was the final score of Swindon Town vs Shrewsbury?

Swindon Town 2-1 Shrewsbury in the England - 2nd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Town vs Shrewsbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Swindon Town 51%, draw 29%, Shrewsbury 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swindon Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swindon Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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