Walsall 2-1 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.87
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
16%
4.88
X/2
13%
6.85
X/X
12%
5.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
23.6
2/2
14%
4.62
2/X
8%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 12% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.56/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.16
-5% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 74%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
21.6 Crosses 19.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Salford City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.30
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
237 Passes 279
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Salford City Salford City 1-2 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
22.04.2023 Walsall Walsall 2-3 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
31.01.2023 Salford City Salford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
26.03.2022 Salford City Salford City 2-1 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
09.10.2021 Walsall Walsall 2-1 HT 1-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
20.04.2021 Walsall Walsall 0-2 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
2-1
AWAY Salford City
1.02 xG 1.53
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
175 Passes 285
61% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall nicked a narrow win over Salford City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Walsall as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Walsall had 43% of the ball to Salford City's 57%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.02 to 1.53 — the balance of chances actually favoured Salford City.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salford City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Walsall and 1.67 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Salford City?

Walsall 2-1 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Walsall 43%, draw 25%, Salford City 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walsall), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Walsall) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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