Crewe Alexandra 2-0 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.44
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.89
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
9%
5.3
X/2
10%
5.31
X/X
14%
4.06
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
19%
3.91
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.03/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.06
+7% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
265 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 63%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
19.8 Crosses 22.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gillingham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.15 xG 1.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
291 Passes 215
71% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 0-0 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
03.10.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
21.03.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 2-1 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
08.10.2022 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-1 HT 1-1 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
01.02.2022 Gillingham Gillingham 1-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN1
20.11.2021 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
2-0
AWAY Gillingham
1.59 xG 1.13
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
138 Passes 403
60% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra beat Gillingham 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Crewe Alexandra made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 32% of the ball to Gillingham's 68%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.59 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 0.67 for Gillingham.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Gillingham?

Crewe Alexandra 2-0 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 35%, draw 29%, Gillingham 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
5 Oct 2024
14:30 Fleetwood Town vs Bromley Analysis →
14:30 Grimsby Town vs Doncaster Rovers Analysis →
17:00 Accrington Stanley vs Morecambe Analysis →
17:00 Milton Keynes Dons vs Tranmere Rovers Analysis →
17:00 Swindon Town vs Harrogate Town Analysis →
17:00 Notts County vs Port Vale Analysis →