Notts County vs Port Vale Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Notts County v Port Vale — Team-Based Signals
Notts County vs Port Vale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Port Vale
İN2
2-2
HT 1-1
Notts County
İN2
1-0
HT 0-0
Port Vale
İN2
0-1
HT 0-0
Notts County
İN2
2-1
HT 0-0
Notts County
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-1
Port Vale
İN1
Notts County 0-1 Port Vale — Actual Match Statistics
Port Vale edged past Notts County 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Port Vale made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Notts County had 72% of the ball to Port Vale's 28%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.19 to 1.26.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Notts County and 0.83 for Port Vale.
What was the final score of Notts County vs Port Vale?
Notts County 0-1 Port Vale in the England - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Notts County vs Port Vale?
Before kick-off our model rated an Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Notts County 34%, draw 26%, Port Vale 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Port Vale), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.