Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.42
6+ Goals
12%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.25
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
22%
3.99
X/2
7%
8.96
X/X
11%
5.2
2/1
11%
23.15
2/2
10%
6.9
2/X
6%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milton Keynes Dons EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.67/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.53
+21% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
396 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
15.3 Crosses 18.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.18 xG 1.31
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
412 Passes 267
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-2 HT 1-1 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
12.08.2023 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
02.11.2019 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-3 HT 1-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN1
13.04.2019 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
29.09.2018 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 HT 1-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
01.02.2014 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 0-1 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
1-1
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
0.93 xG 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
474 Passes 359
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 13
7 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Milton Keynes Dons vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milton Keynes Dons and Tranmere Rovers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Milton Keynes Dons at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Milton Keynes Dons had 55% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 45%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.93 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tranmere Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Milton Keynes Dons and 1.33 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Milton Keynes Dons vs Tranmere Rovers?

Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milton Keynes Dons vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milton Keynes Dons win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Milton Keynes Dons 53%, draw 24%, Tranmere Rovers 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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