Swindon Town 0-0 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2024

Swindon Town
0-0 HT 0-0
Harrogate Town
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Swindon Town vs Harrogate Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 29% vs market 21.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.24
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.13
X/2
6%
9.26
X/X
12%
5.15
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
15%
6.9
2/X
5%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.8pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swindon Town v Harrogate Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +23%
1.61/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.35
+11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 70%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
23.5 Crosses 13.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Swindon Town vs Harrogate Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Town
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Harrogate Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.52 xG 1.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 Passes 240
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
18.11.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
25.02.2023 Swindon Town Swindon Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
30.07.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
15.04.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-4 HT 0-2 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
27.11.2021 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2

Swindon Town 0-0 Harrogate Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swindon Town
0-0
AWAY Harrogate Town
0.87 xG 0.52
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
354 Passes 164
73% Pass Accuracy 60%
21 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Swindon Town vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Town and Harrogate Town fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Swindon Town at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Swindon Town had 64% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 36%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.87 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swindon Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Swindon Town and 1.17 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of Swindon Town vs Harrogate Town?

Swindon Town 0-0 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Town vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Swindon Town 48%, draw 25%, Harrogate Town 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Swindon Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swindon Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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