Swindon Town vs Harrogate Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Swindon Town v Harrogate Town — Team-Based Signals
Swindon Town vs Harrogate Town Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Swindon Town
İN2
3-0
HT 2-0
Harrogate Town
İN2
3-0
HT 1-0
Swindon Town
İN2
1-4
HT 0-2
Swindon Town
İN2
1-1
HT 0-1
Harrogate Town
İN2
Swindon Town 1-1 Harrogate Town — Actual Match Statistics
Swindon Town and Harrogate Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Swindon Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Swindon Town had 62% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 38%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.42 to 0.96.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Swindon Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Swindon Town and 1.20 for Harrogate Town.
What was the final score of Swindon Town vs Harrogate Town?
Swindon Town 1-1 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Swindon Town vs Harrogate Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Swindon Town 46%, draw 27%, Harrogate Town 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swindon Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.