Grimsby Town 1-0 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 2 Mar 2024

Grimsby Town
1-0 HT 1-0
Forest Green Rovers
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Grimsby Town vs Forest Green Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.52
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.4
6+ Goals
12%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 27% vs market 23.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
13%
4.62
X/2
15%
7.01
X/X
17%
4.84
2/1
10%
24.45
2/2
11%
5.02
2/X
5%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grimsby Town v Forest Green Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
1.41/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.27
-22% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 70%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
21.5 Crosses 20.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Grimsby Town vs Forest Green Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grimsby Town
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.02 xG 1.11
49% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
295 Passes 299
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.11.2023 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-2 HT 2-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
06.03.2021 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
27.10.2020 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
01.02.2020 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
17.08.2019 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
22.01.2019 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 3-0 HT 2-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2

Grimsby Town 1-0 Forest Green Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grimsby Town
1-0
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
0.23 xG 0.29
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 7
124 Passes 330
53% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grimsby Town vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grimsby Town squeezed past Forest Green Rovers 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Grimsby Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Grimsby Town had 35% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 65%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.23 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Grimsby Town and 1.83 for Forest Green Rovers.

What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Forest Green Rovers?

Grimsby Town 1-0 Forest Green Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 38%, draw 30%, Forest Green Rovers 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grimsby Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Grimsby Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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