Tranmere Rovers 1-0 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.81
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
13%
4.52
X/2
12%
7.0
X/X
15%
4.64
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
10%
5.19
2/X
5%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -27%
1.10/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.49
+7% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
257 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 67%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
22.5 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sutton United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 0.99
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
232 Passes 188
60% Pass Accuracy 55%
19 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.11.2023 Sutton United Sutton United 1-1 HT 0-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
07.01.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
08.10.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 0-2 HT 0-2 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
19.03.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 1-1 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
13.11.2021 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
23.12.2017 Sutton United Sutton United 1-3 HT 1-2 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
1-0
AWAY Sutton United
2.32 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 18
11 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 8
171 Passes 205
60% Pass Accuracy 63%
23 Box Touches 34
20 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tranmere Rovers squeezed past Sutton United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tranmere Rovers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 49% of the ball to Sutton United's 51%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 2.32 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tranmere Rovers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 1.00 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Sutton United?

Tranmere Rovers 1-0 Sutton United in the England - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tranmere Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 41%, draw 28%, Sutton United 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tranmere Rovers), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5
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