Salford City 0-2 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.69
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
11%
5.42
X/2
11%
5.51
X/X
13%
4.58
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
16%
3.76
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.8pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.19/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.04
+3% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 71%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
19.8 Crosses 21.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Gillingham
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.03 xG 1.03
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
354 Passes 269
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 3-1 HT 1-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
08.05.2023 Salford City Salford City 0-1 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
03.12.2022 Gillingham Gillingham 0-3 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
0-2
AWAY Gillingham
1.28 xG 1.08
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
238 Passes 163
67% Pass Accuracy 59%
17 Box Touches 21
36 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gillingham got the better of Salford City 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Gillingham made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Salford City had 57% of the ball to Gillingham's 43%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.28 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gillingham led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Salford City and 1.33 for Gillingham.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Gillingham?

Salford City 0-2 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Salford City 39%, draw 26%, Gillingham 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Salford City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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