Walsall 3-1 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.36 — our 27% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.68
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
15%
4.53
X/2
11%
7.4
X/X
7%
4.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.0
2/2
16%
5.33
2/X
9%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.61/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.30
-14% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
22.1 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.67 xG 0.87
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
214 Passes 346
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
08.05.2023 Walsall Walsall 2-1 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
02.12.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-2 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
10.08.2021 Walsall Walsall 0-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İNLK
30.03.2019 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 3-1 HT 3-1 Walsall Walsall İN1
15.09.2018 Walsall Walsall 1-4 HT 1-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
13.02.2018 Walsall Walsall 4-2 HT 3-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
3-1
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
3.12 xG 0.88
29% Ball Possession 71%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
155 Passes 530
67% Pass Accuracy 88%
31 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall got the better of Doncaster Rovers 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Walsall as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Walsall had 29% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 71%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 3.12 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Walsall and 1.67 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Doncaster Rovers?

Walsall 3-1 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Walsall 45%, draw 23%, Doncaster Rovers 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walsall), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Walsall) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
2 Mar 2024
15:45 AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons Analysis →
18:00 Swindon Town vs Harrogate Town Analysis →
18:00 Grimsby Town vs Forest Green Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Tranmere Rovers vs Sutton United Analysis →
18:00 Salford City vs Gillingham Analysis →
18:00 Crewe Alexandra vs Morecambe Analysis →