Grimsby Town 0-3 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2024

Grimsby Town
0-3 HT 0-3
Doncaster Rovers
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Grimsby Town vs Doncaster Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 26% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.48
1/2
10%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
12%
6.4
X/2
15%
4.94
X/X
10%
4.63
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
18%
3.12
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grimsby Town v Doncaster Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +19%
1.21/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.77
+9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +69%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
17.3 Crosses 15.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Grimsby Town vs Doncaster Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grimsby Town
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.15 xG 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
249 Passes 251
67% Pass Accuracy 64%
19 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-5 HT 1-2 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
28.10.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
10.04.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-2 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
12.11.2022 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
13.08.2019 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İNLK
20.07.2019 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers HAZ

Grimsby Town 0-3 Doncaster Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grimsby Town
0-3
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.30 xG 2.20
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
141 Passes 400
59% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Grimsby Town vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers ran out comfortable winners over Grimsby Town 3-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Doncaster Rovers as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Grimsby Town had 33% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 67%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.30 to 2.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grimsby Town and 1.67 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Doncaster Rovers?

Grimsby Town 0-3 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 33%, draw 23%, Doncaster Rovers 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers)
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