Gillingham 0-0 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2024

Gillingham
0-0 HT 0-0
Crewe Alexandra
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.21
6+ Goals
9%
20.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 31% vs market 30.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.92
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.25
X/1
16%
4.38
X/2
8%
6.7
X/X
10%
4.31
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
17%
5.28
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gillingham v Crewe Alexandra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gillingham EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.76/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.30
-8% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
298 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 71%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
24.3 Crosses 16.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1

Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gillingham
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.39 xG 1.38
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
205 Passes 304
65% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.10.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
21.03.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 2-1 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
08.10.2022 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-1 HT 1-1 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
01.02.2022 Gillingham Gillingham 1-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN1
20.11.2021 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
26.01.2021 Gillingham Gillingham 4-1 HT 3-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN1

Gillingham 0-0 Crewe Alexandra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gillingham
0-0
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
0.68 xG 0.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
199 Passes 231
61% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gillingham and Crewe Alexandra fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Gillingham had 48% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 52%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.68 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gillingham had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gillingham and 1.17 for Crewe Alexandra.

What was the final score of Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra?

Gillingham 0-0 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 40%, draw 29%, Crewe Alexandra 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gillingham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gillingham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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