Harrogate Town vs Chesterfield Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Harrogate Town v Chesterfield — Team-Based Signals
Harrogate Town vs Chesterfield Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-4
HT 2-2
Harrogate Town
İBSL
3-1
HT 1-1
Chesterfield
İBSL
0-1
HT 0-1
Harrogate Town
İBSL
1-1
HT 0-0
Chesterfield
İBSL
Harrogate Town 2-1 Chesterfield — Actual Match Statistics
Harrogate Town edged past Chesterfield 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Chesterfield at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Harrogate Town had 33% of the ball to Chesterfield's 67%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.80 to 0.56.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Harrogate Town and 1.25 for Chesterfield.
What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs Chesterfield?
Harrogate Town 2-1 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs Chesterfield?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 25%, draw 28%, Chesterfield 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.