Cavese 1-1 Salernitana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Feb 2026

Cavese
1-1 HT 0-1
Salernitana
📅14/02/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2025/2026

Cavese vs Salernitana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.46
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.62
Over
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
38%
2.47
2-3
36%
1.74
4-5
18%
4.41
6+
8%
23.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.47 — our 38% vs market 33.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Cavese v Salernitana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavese The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Salernitana The Market 50%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
0.76 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.13
0.96 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.00
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Great Defensevs comparable teams Average
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Cavese vs Salernitana Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavese
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Salernitana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
05.10.2025 Salernitana Salernitana 3-2 HT 0-0 Cavese Cavese İTC

Cavese 1-1 Salernitana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavese
1-1
AWAY Salernitana
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Cavese vs Salernitana
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cavese and Salernitana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

A gentle 44% lean on Salernitana didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.98, about 51% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 59% to 41% in Cavese's favour, shots finished 8-12.

Cavese vs Salernitana Result & Final Score

Cavese 1-1 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie C on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cavese vs Salernitana Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cavese 23%, draw 33%, Salernitana 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Salernitana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salernitana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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