Benevento 1-1 US Latina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
69%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
11%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.86
Over
48%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.39
No
54%
1.51
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.09
2-3
38%
1.75
4-5
24%
3.52
6+
9%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.09 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento The Market 76%
Head to Head
AWAY US Latina The Market 14%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.95 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.82
0.78 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.76
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
397 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
3W-2D-1L
AWAY US Latina
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
03.10.2025 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
30.07.2025 US Latina US Latina 0-1 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento HAZ
22.02.2025 US Latina US Latina 1-1 HT 1-1 Benevento Benevento İTC
13.10.2024 Benevento Benevento 5-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
18.12.2023 US Latina US Latina 0-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
11.02.2017 Benevento Benevento 2-1 HT 1-1 US Latina US Latina İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
1-1
AWAY US Latina
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Benevento vs US Latina
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Benevento and US Latina shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Benevento carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Small consolation: at 1.32 (roughly 76%) the price was further off than we were.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 46% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.51, about 66%.

Under the surface, possession split 69% to 31% in Benevento's favour, shots finished 18-3.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benevento had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Benevento against 0.50 for US Latina.

Benevento vs US Latina Result & Final Score

Benevento 1-1 US Latina in the Italy - Serie C on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Benevento vs US Latina Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Benevento 69%, draw 20%, US Latina 11%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Benevento), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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