Benevento 5-0 US Latina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.5
6+ Goals
12%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 27% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-12.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY US Latina EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
2.20/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.25
+28% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
364 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
1W-2D-0L
AWAY US Latina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
18.12.2023 US Latina US Latina 0-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
11.02.2017 Benevento Benevento 2-1 HT 1-1 US Latina US Latina İTB
17.09.2016 US Latina US Latina 1-1 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
5-0
AWAY US Latina
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Benevento vs US Latina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento cruised past US Latina 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Benevento as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Benevento had 52% of the ball to US Latina's 48%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Benevento had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Benevento and 0.67 for US Latina.

What was the final score of Benevento vs US Latina?

Benevento 5-0 US Latina in the Italy - Serie C on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs US Latina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Benevento 52%, draw 24%, US Latina 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benevento), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ BTTS No
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