Vicenza 1-1 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.39
6+ Goals
7%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vicenza EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.71/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.17
-1% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
452 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vicenza
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Lumezzane
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.01.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-1 HT 2-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
17.09.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 1-0 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
16.03.2014 Vicenza Vicenza 2-1 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vicenza
1-1
AWAY Lumezzane
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Vicenza vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza and Lumezzane couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vicenza at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Vicenza had 56% of the ball to Lumezzane's 44%, shots finished 19-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vicenza had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vicenza and 1.00 for Lumezzane.

What was the final score of Vicenza vs Lumezzane?

Vicenza 1-1 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vicenza vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vicenza 49%, draw 27%, Lumezzane 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vicenza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vicenza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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