Campobasso 4-0 SPAL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Oct 2024

Campobasso
4-0
SPAL
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Campobasso vs SPAL Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.14
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Campobasso v SPAL — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Campobasso EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY SPAL EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
1.73/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.09
+49% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.4

Campobasso 4-0 SPAL — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Campobasso
4-0
AWAY SPAL
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Campobasso vs SPAL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Campobasso cruised past SPAL 4-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Campobasso found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Campobasso had 48% of the ball to SPAL's 52%, shots finished 14-4.

What was the final score of Campobasso vs SPAL?

Campobasso 4-0 SPAL in the Italy - Serie C on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Campobasso vs SPAL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Campobasso win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Campobasso 38%, draw 30%, SPAL 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Campobasso), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Campobasso) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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