FeralpiSalo 2-0 Caldiero Terme — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.19
6+ Goals
9%
20.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 32% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-15.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.4pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+9.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.32/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.50
-24% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
2-0
AWAY Caldiero Terme
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Caldiero Terme
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo got the better of Caldiero Terme 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FeralpiSalo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 58% of the ball to Caldiero Terme's 42%, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Caldiero Terme?

FeralpiSalo 2-0 Caldiero Terme in the Italy - Serie C on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Caldiero Terme?

Before kick-off our model rated a FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 46%, draw 29%, Caldiero Terme 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FeralpiSalo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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