Siracusa 1-1 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
23%
3.64
Away Pick
55%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.68
Over
47%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.12
No
51%
1.64
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.62
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
16%
4.13
6+
9%
20.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.62 — our 34% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siracusa The Market 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania The Market 61%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.39 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.39
1.32 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.92
Great Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
307 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siracusa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Catania
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
1 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Catania Catania 2-0 HT 1-0 Siracusa Siracusa İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Siracusa
1-1
AWAY Catania
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
REVIEW Siracusa vs Catania
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Siracusa and Catania with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Catania at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 49%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.64, roughly 61%.

On the day, possession split 56% to 44% in Siracusa's favour, shots finished 8-12.

Siracusa vs Catania Result & Final Score

Siracusa 1-1 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Siracusa vs Catania Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Siracusa 22%, draw 23%, Catania 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Catania), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Catania) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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