Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 MC Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.06
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.69
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.22
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
18.3
X/1
20%
3.72
X/2
10%
10.55
X/X
12%
3.97
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
4%
10.4
2/X
5%
20.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+1.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.5pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.7pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Alger EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.64/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/0.56
-35% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 71%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.6
8.9 Crosses 9.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
0W-1D-0L
AWAY MC Alger
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.30 xG 0.56
66% Ball Possession 34%
4 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
487 Passes 199
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
9 Box Touches 9
6 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.11.2025 MC Alger MC Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns CAFŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
2-0
AWAY MC Alger
0.62 xG 0.15
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
400 Passes 149
81% Pass Accuracy 62%
14 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs MC Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns got the better of MC Alger 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 67% of the ball to MC Alger's 33%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.62 to 0.15.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs MC Alger?

Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 MC Alger in the CAF Champions League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs MC Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 59%, draw 22%, MC Alger 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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