Simba 1-0 Stade Malien Bamako — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — CAF Champions League, 14 Feb 2026

Simba Elo 1694 · World #347 (clubs) LWDDW→
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Stade Malien Bamako Elo 1581 DWWDW→
📅14/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
CAF Champions League – 2025/2026

Simba vs Stade Malien Bamako Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 15:03
Match Result
HomeVIEW
60%
1.6
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
15%
5.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
59%
1.65
Over
41%
2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.38
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
18%
4.62
6+
3%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.12
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
5%
17.6
X/1
22%
3.77
X/2
7%
10.8
X/X
16%
4.51
2/1
3%
29.0
2/2
7%
10.1
2/X
4%
19.95
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Simba v Stade Malien Bamako — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Simba The Market 62%
Signal
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako The Market 19%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.67 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.71
0.77 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.63
Bad Attack Strength Great
Bad Defense Strength Strong
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 70%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
9 Crosses –
1 Yellow Cards –

Simba vs Stade Malien Bamako Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Simba
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.22 xG 2.90
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 3
393 Passes 147
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
30 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.11.2025 Stade Malien Bamako Stade Malien Bamako 2-1 HT 2-0 Simba Simba CAFŞL

Simba 1-0 Stade Malien Bamako — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Simba
1 - 0
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako
1.19 xG 0.41
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
332 Passes 185
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Simba vs Stade Malien Bamako
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Simba nicked a narrow win over Stade Malien Bamako 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Simba as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came home.

Under the surface, Simba had 59% of the ball to Stade Malien Bamako's 41%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.19 to 0.41.

Simba vs Stade Malien Bamako Result & Final Score

Simba 1 - 0 Stade Malien Bamako in the CAF Champions League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Simba vs Stade Malien Bamako Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Simba win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Simba 60%, draw 25%, Stade Malien Bamako 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Simba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Simba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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